This Modern Age

Archive for June 2008

Obama: The Anti-Iraq War Candidate?

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The Washington Post (hardly a tool of the GOP) ran an editorial piece on a conversation that occurred between Sen. Obama and Iraq’s Foreign Minister, Hoshyar Zebari. 

While Sen. Obama ran his campaign to the left of Hillary on the Iraq War, making strong comments on troop withdrawls and such, he is ready to start campaigning a little different now.  Now it’s time for all of the neat ideals of the primary season to be adjusted.

According to the Post, Zebari was very clear on the high cost of a rapid withdrawl of American troops:

We have a deadly enemy, when he sees you commit yourself to a certain timetable, he will use it to increase pressure and attacks, to make it look as though he is forcing you out.  We have many actors who would love to take advantage of that opportunity.

But it sounds like Sen. Obama is revisiting reality on the issue.  Rather than committinig to forfeiting the Iraq War, Sen. Obama’s response was:

If there would be a Democratic administration, it will not take any irresponsible, reckless, sudden decisions or actions to endanger your gains, your achievements, your stability or security.  Whatever decision he will reach will be made through close consultation with the Iraqi government and U.S. military commanders in the field.

Zebaris’ conclusion was “[he] might not differ all that much from Mr. McCain.” 

Ouch! Not quite what The Left was looking for. 

 

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Written by thismodernage

June 20, 2008 at 6:53 pm

ANWR – Drill It

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The argument about ANWR comes down to 2,000 acres.  That might seem like a lot of land at first glance, but ANWR itself is roughly 19.0 million acres and 17.5 of that is absolutely permanently closed to development.

And further, look at that map – it’s the northern most part of Alaska.  It’s not the gorgeous part of ANWR that the media loves to show pictures of.  In fact, it’s literally like a level of Hell in Dante’s Inferno.  These 2,000 acres are flat, tree-less and it reaches about -110 degrees fahrenheit with wind chill during the winter.  Did someone have better plans for this area?  A park or tourist area? 

Indeed, back in the 80s – before Illogical Environmentalist was chic – the Washington Post editorial board is credited with saying ANWR is:

one of the bleakest, most remote places on this continent, and there is hardly any other where drilling would have less impact on surrounding life. . . .

Drill It

Translated into the vernacular: Common haircuts do more permanent damage than what is being proposed for going into ANWR to drill for oil. 

For more on domestic drilling in the OCS (Outer Continental Shelf) click here.

Written by thismodernage

June 16, 2008 at 1:52 am

Electoral College Outlook: McCain 270, Obama 268

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An UPDATE of the Electoral College Outlook Can Be Found In This Link.

The country can argue about politics and theory all it wants, but eventually it comes down to solid, old fashioned arithmetic.  The problem that the Democratic Party is facing – and would have also faced with Hillary as the nominee – is, what States can they win that Gore and Kerry could not carry in 2000 and 2004?

Tim Carney is a long time friend of mine and one of the best political forecasters in Washington D.C. – he’s nailed all of the recent elections to the wall.  In a recent Evans-Novak Political Report Tim predicts the Electoral College going to McCain over Obama by 270 to 268.  Granted, that is a razor thin margin, but it seems to represent the current political climate. 

Carney sums up the Presidential race:

The electoral map looks nearly identical to 2004, with Iowa and Colorado swinging into the Democratic camp. Beneath the surface, however, we see Michigan and Pennsylvania becoming more competitive for Republicans.

The election will hinge on two regions: Lake Erie and the Mountain West. An Obama win in New Mexico or Nevada would be enough to tip the scales, but a McCain win in Pennsylvania could put the race out of reach. In the end, as always, it comes down to Ohio, where Obama’s weakness among rural whites could send McCain to the White House.

 

Written by thismodernage

June 14, 2008 at 7:27 pm